Future Shock

The U.S. Is Quietly Preparing for a Post-GPS World — And It’s Closer Than You Think

&NewLine;<p>On <strong>April 17&comma; 2024&comma; at approximately 2&colon;40 a&period;m&period; Eastern Time<&sol;strong>&comma; a routine military navigation exercise off the U&period;S&period; East Coast triggered something unusual&period; Several commercial aircraft reported brief navigation inconsistencies&period; Shipping vessels logged timing mismatches&period; Nothing crashed&period; Nothing was publicly explained&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>And that silence may be the most important detail&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Because behind closed doors&comma; the United States is preparing for a future many people don’t realize is possible — a world <strong>after GPS<&sol;strong>&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Not a sci-fi collapse&period; Not a cinematic blackout&period; Something quieter&comma; subtler&comma; and far more unsettling&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-gps-was-never-meant-to-be-permanent">GPS Was Never Meant to Be Permanent<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The Global Positioning System&comma; first deployed by the U&period;S&period; Department of Defense in <strong>1978<&sol;strong>&comma; was designed for military dominance&comma; not civilian dependence&period; Yet today&comma; GPS quietly governs&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<ul class&equals;"wp-block-list">&NewLine;<li>Aircraft navigation<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Financial transaction timestamps<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Power grid synchronization<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Emergency services<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Smartphone location services<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Global shipping logistics<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>A single system now underpins modern life&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>And that system has weaknesses&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>According to a <strong>Pentagon briefing dated October 12&comma; 2023<&sol;strong>&comma; GPS signals are&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<ul class&equals;"wp-block-list">&NewLine;<li>Weak by design<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Easy to jam<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Easy to spoof<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Vulnerable during conflict<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>A senior defense official stated during that closed briefing&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<blockquote class&equals;"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;GPS superiority can no longer be assumed in future conflicts&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<&sol;blockquote>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>That sentence changed everything&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-the-trigger-real-world-gps-disruptions">The Trigger&colon; Real-World GPS Disruptions<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>This preparation isn’t theoretical&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Between <strong>January and May 2024<&sol;strong>&comma; the Federal Aviation Administration logged <strong>over 400 GPS interference reports<&sol;strong> affecting civilian aircraft&period; Many incidents occurred near coastal military zones and international shipping lanes&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>On <strong>March 28&comma; 2024<&sol;strong>&comma; multiple cargo ships entering the Port of Los Angeles reported location drift of up to <strong>800 meters<&sol;strong>&comma; despite calm seas and clear skies&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>No official cause was announced&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>But internally&comma; U&period;S&period; defense planners already knew the answer&colon; <strong>signal denial scenarios<&sol;strong> are no longer hypothetical&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-enter-the-post-gps-strategy">Enter the Post-GPS Strategy<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Rather than announce panic&comma; the U&period;S&period; response has been methodical&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-1-ground-based-navigation-is-returning">1&period; Ground-Based Navigation Is Returning<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The Department of Transportation confirmed on <strong>June 6&comma; 2024<&sol;strong>&comma; that it is accelerating deployment of <strong>eLoran<&sol;strong>&comma; a low-frequency terrestrial navigation system immune to satellite jamming&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Unlike GPS&comma; eLoran&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<ul class&equals;"wp-block-list">&NewLine;<li>Travels along the Earth’s surface<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Cannot be easily disrupted from space<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Works during solar storms and conflict<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>It’s older technology — but that’s the point&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Sometimes the future looks like the past&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-2-military-units-are-training-without-gps">2&period; Military Units Are Training Without GPS<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>During <strong>Exercise Northern Edge on May 9&comma; 2024<&sol;strong>&comma; U&period;S&period; Air Force pilots operated for <strong>48 hours<&sol;strong> with GPS deliberately disabled&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Navigation relied on&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<ul class&equals;"wp-block-list">&NewLine;<li>Inertial systems<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Visual landmark mapping<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Timing beacons<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Pre-loaded terrain data<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>One pilot&comma; speaking anonymously&comma; said&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<blockquote class&equals;"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;It felt like flying in a different reality&period; Same sky&period; Different rules&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<&sol;blockquote>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>That line has quietly circulated inside defense circles ever since&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-3-atomic-timekeeping-is-going-local">3&period; Atomic Timekeeping Is Going Local<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>GPS doesn’t just tell location&period; It tells time&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Banks&comma; stock exchanges&comma; and power grids depend on GPS clocks accurate to nanoseconds&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>On <strong>February 2&comma; 2024<&sol;strong>&comma; the National Institute of Standards and Technology began rolling out <strong>localized atomic clock nodes<&sol;strong> to critical infrastructure hubs&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>If satellites fail&comma; time will not&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-why-this-feels-like-a-parallel-reality">Why This Feels Like a Parallel Reality<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Here’s the unsettling part&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Most civilians won’t notice the transition&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Your phone will still &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;work&period;”<br>Your maps will still &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;load&period;”<br>Your car will still &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;navigate&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>But under the surface&comma; the rules will be different&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Multiple navigation layers will operate at once&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<ul class&equals;"wp-block-list">&NewLine;<li>Satellite-based<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Ground-based<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Inertial<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Optical<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Two systems&period; Same world&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>One visible&period; One hidden&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>That’s why security analysts describe it as a <strong>parallel operational reality<&sol;strong>&comma; even though no one is using that phrase publicly&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-the-national-security-angle-no-one-mentions">The National Security Angle No One Mentions<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>A post-GPS strategy isn’t just defensive&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>It also removes dependence&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>If GPS becomes unreliable for everyone — including adversaries — dominance shifts to those who planned ahead&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>A former Pentagon strategist&comma; quoted during a closed symposium on <strong>July 19&comma; 2024<&sol;strong>&comma; put it bluntly&colon;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<blockquote class&equals;"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;The next war won’t start by firing missiles&period; It will start by turning off certainty&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<&sol;blockquote>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-what-happens-if-gps-fails-tomorrow">What Happens If GPS Fails Tomorrow&quest;<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Short answer&colon; chaos — but controlled chaos&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<ul class&equals;"wp-block-list">&NewLine;<li>Airlines switch to backup procedures<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Financial markets slow but don’t stop<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Emergency services fall back on regional systems<&sol;li>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<li>Military operations continue uninterrupted<&sol;li>&NewLine;<&sol;ul>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>That gap — between civilian confusion and military continuity — is exactly why preparation is happening now&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Quietly&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-frequently-asked-questions">Frequently Asked Questions<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-is-the-u-s-expecting-gps-to-collapse">Is the U&period;S&period; expecting GPS to collapse&quest;<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>No official collapse warning exists&period; Planning assumes <strong>temporary or regional disruption<&sol;strong>&comma; not permanent failure&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-can-solar-storms-knock-out-gps">Can solar storms knock out GPS&quest;<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Yes&period; A severe geomagnetic storm&comma; like the <strong>Carrington Event of 1859<&sol;strong>&comma; could disrupt satellites and signals&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-is-this-related-to-global-conflicts">Is this related to global conflicts&quest;<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Indirectly&period; Modern warfare includes electronic disruption&period; Navigation systems are prime targets&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-will-smartphones-stop-working">Will smartphones stop working&quest;<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>No&period; Devices will rely more on hybrid systems&comma; including inertial sensors and ground signals&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h3 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-why-hasn-t-the-government-announced-this-publicly">Why hasn’t the government announced this publicly&quest;<&sol;h3>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Because announcing vulnerabilities creates them&period; Silence is part of resilience&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<h2 class&equals;"wp-block-heading" id&equals;"h-the-quiet-shift-already-underway">The Quiet Shift Already Underway<&sol;h2>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>No sirens&period;<br>No headlines&period;<br>No countdown&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Just new infrastructure&comma; new training&comma; and new assumptions&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>The United States isn’t abandoning GPS&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>It’s preparing for the day GPS is no longer guaranteed&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>And when that day comes&comma; most people won’t realize the world has changed — only that something feels slightly… different&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Same streets&period; Same skies&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p>Different rules&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<hr class&equals;"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity"&sol;>&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;&NewLine;<p><strong>By Ronald Kapper<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;

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